Dolf: Industry is Fun Again
Speaks on Strongbow, HUSA's Performance in Fir

FILED AUGUST 16, 2012

Dear Client:

With still two years left on Vermont Hard Cider's Strongbow importation rights contract with Heineken NV, they were able to negotiate an undisclosed settlement so that Heineken USA could take over the rights on January 1, reports the WSJ. Moving forward, Vermont chief Bret Williams tells us that it's "business as usual". There will be no layoffs, and their new $24 million cidery continues building apace. "With Strongbow going away, that's really one year's growth of Woodchuck. ... We're going to focus everything we have on our proprietary brands, on Woodchuck and Wyder's," says Bret.

As for Heineken USA, chief Dolf van den Brink tells BBD that the decision to bring Strongbow into the fold was an evolutionary one. Says he:

DOLF ON GETTING STRONGBOW. "If you look at Heineken USA five or six years ago, we were basically a single brand company. And since then we have built an upscale portfolio by adding the Mexican brands, Newcastle, Indio, etc. We've kept an eye on cider. Globally we are the market leader on cider, we have 25% of the global cider market. We have about 50% share in the UK. And so we consider ourselves the global experts on cider. It's logical that it's something that we've set our eyes on. In the US, the cider segment in absolute terms is still rather small, but it's been growing double digits over the last decade, and then picking up steam to the high teens and this absolutely exploding to the 40s and more recently in Nielsen into the 80s [percent growth rate].

"The key thing, Harry, is that for the last ten years Heineken has played in the US cider industry, we just chose to do it through Green Mountain as they were called at the time, or Vermont Hard Cider now. I feel that our predecessors made the right choice there. The segment was so small that going through a pure cider player was the right choice.... Vermont Hard Cider did an absolute great job.... We now feel that the moment has arrived to integrate Strongbow into the Heineken USA portfolio. We believe that our skill that our national presence can accelerate the brand in this critical moment in its development...."

DOLF ON STRONGBOW TRANSITION. "More than half of volume sits with Heineken USA distributors. But there's a significant part that isn't. You already have remarked on it this morning, Harry, so let's not beat around the bush. We know that cider is regulated differently than beer. But having said that, cider and this brand have value in the three tier system and we encourage any acquiring distributors to do the right thing. But that is between the two distributors."

DOLF ON HUSA'S FIRST HALF. Dolf pointed out that Heineken USA volumes are up 4.3% so far this year, per Nielsen all channel scans to July 14. With those trends, "this industry starts to feel like fun again," he said, describing the current momentum as making him "cautiously optimistic." Brand Heineken is up 2.7% and is "still the bread and butter of the company."

"The Legends campaign is really working. A big shift we made recently based on a lot of input from distributors, is to focus on our great credentials and stories for the brand.... history, ingredients -- we weren't leveraging them enough. We added a television commercial where we featured Heineken draft, which is the first ever......we believe think the Legends campaign did a great job of turning the brand around last year, and we think the Credentials campaign is continuing to accelerate the brand." When asked whether this momentum meant HUSA had pricing leverage this Fall, Dolf demurred. "No comment."

ON DOS EQUIS. "Dos Equis has been growing double digits for many years, but we're really proud to see the brand accelerating. Year-to-date we're up 30.4% on Lager, and that's without any major innovations or new SKUs. This is solid core growth..... Today's commercials are testing even better than last year."

ON NEWCASTLE. "We have not been happy with the volumes of Newcastle the past few years. The brand has been challenged particularly in the on-premise, particularly with the tsunami of craft beers that have been chipping away at our handles. But off-premise with Nielsen, we are up 7.7% ytd, and Brown Ale is up close to 1%. So we are stabilizing Brown Ale and getting it back to growth, more in the on-premise as we still have our work cut our for us in the on-premise. But the last couple months trends are improving. And the Limited Editions help the franchise be up almost 8% for the year..... the No Bullocks ad campaign really connects with Millenials, and strikes a nerve with how they're fed up with the pretensions of the world."

DOLF ON THE SECOND HALF. Dolf said that while the economy and unemployment may not improve in the second half of the year, HUSA is bringing out many new innovations to the market spearheaded by Lesya, including the Beers of Mexico 12 pack, Indio's continued rollout, Tecate Michelada, the new Heineken bottle testing in NYC and rolling out in 2013, the James Bond tie-in.

Until tomorrow, Harry

"Give me golf clubs, fresh air and a beautiful partner, and you can keep the clubs and the fresh air."
-Jack Benny


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coach handbags But even granting that such laws and institutions would be effective, would keep pace with their work, their harmfulness. A state in which the citizens were forced or pressed to obey by such means, even the best laws, might be a quiet, peaceful, prosperous state, but it would be me getting a variety of well seem neat slave, but as a nation of free and independent people, save without restraint as was necessary to prevent violations of the right side. There are certainly many methods for the production of certain actions and feelings only, but none of these lead to true moral perfection. Sensual impulses, urges to commit certain actions or the continuing need for a waiver of that, gradually creating a habit, through force of habit satisfaction that was initially associated with these pulses alone is transferred with the action itself, the inclination, the initially slept only under the pressure of necessity, is quite suffocated, so you can keep leading his actions within the bounds of virtue, and to a certain extent to virtuous feelings to be entertained. But neither is his spiritual energy increased by such a process, yet his views on its purpose and its own value clear, yet his will, more power to win, to conquer the dictates of his rebellious desires, and so he would not before a single step towards true, actual perfection. You would therefore exercise the task of development of man without reference to external ends will never make use of such inadequate resources. For apart from the fact that coercion and leadership can never succeed in producing virtue, they obviously tend to weaken power, and what are around and outward morality without true moral strength and virtue? In addition, however great an evil immorality may be, we must not forget that it is not without its positive consequences. It is only through extremes that men can arrive in the middle path of wisdom and virtue. Extreme, as large masses seems distant, must operate at a distance. In order for the blood to be supplied to the most delicate ramifications of the arteries, it must be abundant sources in the larger vessels. The desire to interfere with the order of nature in this respect, is to add a moral to prevent a physical evil.

How to manage the financial affairs of obstacles for the practical application of the principles we have can create crowded, this is still more to be feared, to be in relation to the internal rules of the political constitution. That is to provide some measures to connect the guide and govern classes of the nation together, to secure to the former in the possession of power, trusted them, and the latter to enjoy the freedom that remains after this necessary deduction. Various methods have been adopted in different States for this purpose: in some, there was an attempt to strengthen the physical power of the government (a plan somewhat dangerous for freedom), while in others, the achievement of this end was by trying competing and balancing forces in the opposition, and in others, by the diffusion of the whole nation a spirit favorable to the Constitution. The last method we have mentioned, though often beautiful productive results (particularly as we noted in antiquity), has a tendency to be injurious to the development of the individual citizen to easily induced bias in the national character and is therefore the most foreign system that we have proposed. After that we should see each other more for a constitution that should the lowest possible positive or special influence on the character of the citizens, and would with nothing but the deepest respect for the rights to fill their hearts of others, combined with the most ardent love for their own freedom. I'm not here trying to figure out which are similar to this Constitution may be provided at the most faithful. Such an investigation apparently belongs to a strict theory of politics, and I will with some brief considerations serve to clearly show me the possibility of such a constitution can contents. The system I have proposed tends to strengthen and multiply the private interests of citizens, and therefore it can in this way to weaken the public interest calculated appear. But it weaves the two together so closely that it seems more likely based on the former, and especially so will the people who want to be safe and free at once. So then, with such a system, love for the Constitution most certainly could be obtained, which is so often tried in vain to cultivate in the hearts of the citizens by artificial means. In this case, a state, moreover, in which the sphere is so narrow and limited, a less degree of power is needed, and this requires proportionally less defense. Finally, it is naturally follows that, as power and enjoyment are often sacrificed on both sides to secure the given results in order to protect both of a greater loss, the necessary adjustments in the system are the same we have to be carried forward.

The decision of the judge in the cases of contested right can be reached only with the help of certain brands or properties, legally appointed. Hence the need for a new class of laws, namely those which are designed are to touch certain properties to ensure the validity of transactions appoint right. In the design of these laws, the legislature must by these two objects alone are performed: -, sufficient funds for the authentication of transactions respected to give rights, and the evidence in court proceedings is necessary to facilitate, secondly, to be careful, running in the opposite extreme, the rendering of difficult negotiations, while he must never impose rules in cases where it would be almost impossible to make operations.

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