A-B: Consolidation Must Happen

FILED FEBRUARY 29, 2012

Dear Client:

It was a sea of casual denim at A-B's Wholesaler Excellence Meeting in New Orleans earlier this week, as your editor slouched in the back under a Doc Otis hat and Bud Ice hoodie. Quite a change from the dark suits of years past.

North American chief Luiz Edmond kicked off the meeting and dove right into the subject that's on folks' minds: alignment and anchor wholesalers. (Although he started with a quip: "How do you like my haircut? It's not cheap, it's frugal. It helps me be on time.")

"Alignment for sure will pay back to you and us," said Luiz. "We believe consolidation will and must happen.....we want, expect and encourage anchor wholesalers to play a large role in consolidation, expanding their businesses in adjoining territories, or new locations when opportunities arise." He said that some people may ask, if I sell 99% A-B products, can I still be an anchor wholesaler? "There's no easy answer.... If you're heading in the right direction, that's important to us." In other words, there are no hard and fast rules. What is not acceptable, said Luiz, is swapping out A-B products on the shelves and on tap handles with competitive brands, and "selling brands in other wholesalers' territory," echoing what A-B stressed in Dallas. "We cannot pretend that we like it."

TOUGH YEAR. "2011 was a tough year," acknowledged sales vp Dave Almeida, who got a lot of stage time this year. He showed that A-B lost 0.6 share points in Beer Institute reported data, , although price-to-retail was up. Dave showed that the industry has lost 10 million barrels since 2008 in BI data. While the industry has typically blamed unemployment and lower disposable income for the sluggishness, Dave said that it's not just employment, but low "labor participation rates." People have given up looking for jobs." The good news is that all of those metrics are improving, and it's "no coincidence that our industry is improving since November."


So what is eating at A-B's share. Dave was candid about this. He said it's a combination of factors.

1. They "didn't react fast enough" to MillerCoors offering specific new packages that they've backed into price points. A-B will now be offering these packs, big time. Dave says that when distributors have bought into the program - even though the margins are lower - the distributor and retailer ends up making more money overall.

2. "Craft is a real threat, but it's also an opportunity." Echoing Ed McBrien's speech last week at the Summit, Dave showed research that indicated that retailers that have too many SKUs actually end up selling less overall beer. He used the example of the health and beauty aids aisle in a supermarket, where consumers spend an average of 90 seconds and only buy something 25% of the time, whereas people spend 31 seconds in the beer aisle and buy something 75% of the time. "Retailers that are winning are not invested in craft to the detriment to the category," said Dave. Later Dave and his national accounts team walked me through a deck showing that chains that over-SKU with crafts end up selling less beer and making less profit than chains that protect their domestic premium space. More on that later.

3. High end price compression. Dave showed a slide that indicated that high end beer isn't raising pricing as fast as premium beer. One slide showed that the average difference between a 12 pack of Bud Light and Heineken had been cut in half since 2009.

4. Competition from various brewers like Yuengling (which he called "value craft") Mike's, and Pabst.

But Dave said that since January, things were looking much better for A-B in IRI data. The launch of Platinum helped that, but also Bud Light is improving its IRI trend as well. Their Mission Six portfolio grew 32% in January in IRI, gaining 1.6 share points of the high-end segment, closing in on 10% share in the high end.

And Bud Light Platinum is exceeding expectations. Platinum's trial is twice that of Bud Light Lime at this point in the introduction. Repeat buys are about the same, and 95% of respondents like it after the first trial, and 84% said they were likely to buy it again. All respondents said it was as good as or better than expected and 58% said it was better than expected.

BEER BRIEFS:

CONSUMERS SLOW DOWN SPENDING. Research from Consumer Edge Insights is showing a fairly sharp slowdown in consumer spending over the past few weeks. Compared with other months February only saw a 0.4% gain in discretionary spending over the prior year, while December rose 2.3% and January rose 1.3%. The main cause for this slowdown seems to be uncertainly about household income and fear the job market is losing steam, reports CNBC. Also, higher gas prices have got to be causing people to pause.

CORRECTION: WHO THE HECK IS PABLO FERNANDEZ? I know. An editing mishap lead to me somehow overlooking the fact that the chairman of Modelo is Carlos Fernandez, somebody I have known and respected for years. My apologies for the mistake.

BEER SUMMIT pictures are up on Facebook. Check them out here: http://tinyurl.com/82ufvpj


Until tomorrow, Harry

"You cannot truly listen to anyone and do anything else at the same time." - M. Scott Peck


Make yourself heard, your opinions count. Anonymous feedback and tipster form: http://www.beernet.com/hotline.php

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michael kors bags Actions to be undertaken by mutual agreement, are exactly similar to those which lead a man of himself, without direct reference to repeat to others, and I think of it, what I have observed of the latter. There is a class of such actions, but that requires very specific rules, I mean those that are not closed at once but themselves. Within their operation in the future Under this head come promises or commitments that are perfect duties on the parties to the commitment, whether mutual or not. Of these parts of the property across from one person to another are made, and when the party transferred it moves from its exposure by trying to recover what has been transmitted, the security is impaired. It is therefore one of the most important tasks in relation to the state, to see that such commitments are binding. But the restraint that imposes any intervention is then only fair and beneficial if, first, the implied restriction extend to him alone who enter into it, and secondly, if it in general, and at the time of surgery, acted right with a capacity for reflection, and exercised a power of free decision. Wherever this is not the case, coercion is unjust in principle, as it is harmful in its effects. On the one hand, the advice concerning the future can never be completely straight and completely, and on the other hand there are many contractual obligations, of a nature to impose such restraints freedom, so prove serious obstacles to complete development of man. Therefore, a second duty is the responsibility of the state-support of the law to such exposures reject as contrary to law, and all necessary precautions to take (in accordance with the security of property) to want to avoid a moment of reflection of how BRINGS restrictions a man to delay or how to prevent its own perfect development. It comes in the province of legal theories to detail everything that is necessary for the validity of contracts or obligations. It only remains for me to watch to save in terms of their properties that a State to which (according to our previous principles) is not allowed on the care of the security may not be for any other items as extraordinary those who already be shown from such general considerations of right or by concern for safety.

gucci outlet Even in case of valid contracts, if such personal commitments, or even more, follows such continuous personal relationship, as is calculated to impose tight restrictions on freedom of establishment, the state must provide a release from the contract, even against the will of a party, and always according to the degree of their offensive limitations inner development. Therefore, in cases where the fulfillment of the obligations is closely interwoven from the relationship with the internal sensations, there must always be the power of unconditional release, but wherever (the limit is still somewhat narrow) this connection is not so intimate, it has the power of withdrawal after the lapse of a certain time, this time to the significance of the boundary and the type of tracking can be determined.

Christian Louboutin Outlet What we observe here respecting minors also applies to the provisions that are made in the case of idiots and lunatics. The difference basically consists in this, that it does not require education and training (unless we relate this name to the efforts to restore them to the use of their reason), but only care and support, that is, in their case in the first place, it is also the violation of it other that should be prevented could do, and that in a state that prohibits the eating either their personal power or wealth in general. It is only necessary to observe, in view of this that the reason for the return is not possible, the temporary exercise of their rights is all that should be taken from them, and not the rights themselves. As my current design does not allow me to more completely the case of such people, I will close the topic by stating the following general principles:, ??

Christian Louboutin These activities, which are carried out the free consent of the second party must be confined within the same (rather narrow), such as those that have just been prescribed in the case of measures relating to the agent.

Coach Factory The first of them, or what force only for the operation of such circumstances the person to commit the crimes, seems by far to be visited improve the fewest disadvantages. It is in itself so beneficial, and calculated to enrich the means of power and pleasure, it does not immediately serve to restrict free activity, and although it is obvious that all these consequences must be acknowledged in order to follow such a policy which I have before, as the effects of state care for the physical well-being of citizens, yet they only follow here a much lesser extent, since such a concern is represented extended only to a few people. Nevertheless, they almost always follow in the train of such a policy, which is very struggle between internal morale and external circumstances get away with, and taken together with it its positive impact on agents strength of character, and, on mutual goodwill among the citizens in general and the fact that such care can only reach individuals, requires political interference in the personal affairs of citizens-all the injuries that we could only suffer in the belief that the security of the state would include be overlooked without such an order . But it seems to me much room for doubt as to the existence of such a necessity. For in a state that does not give rise to such critical circumstances, by the nature of his own constitution, but, on the contrary, secures such a degree of freedom, its citizens, it is recommended the design of these pages, it is hardly possible usually that such situations as they arise, we should describe the behavior of the people are looked without an adequate remedy in the voluntary support of the citizens themselves, and thus an unnecessary government intervention, the cause in such a case must in itself. But in this case it is wrong, if the state in between and disrupt this sequence of events that the natural course of things, induced in the man's actions. These situations will also require just as rare as any particular government intervention, so that the benefits of such care are surpassed by those disadvantages which would need no further explanation here, after all we have already observed.

Coach Outlet Online Lawmakers should keep constantly in mind two things: -1. The pure theory developed to the smallest details; 2 The special situation of the real things that he designs, to reform. He has a commanding view of the theory, not only in its entirety and in its careful and complete development, but must continue to never lose sight of the necessary consequences of each of its several principles, in full, in their various inter-connection and (where they can not be implemented all at once) in their mutual dependence on each other. It is no less his duty (although it is certainly infinitely heavy) to familiarize yourself with the actual state of affairs familiar with the restrictive nature of all bonds imposed by the government to the citizens, and this (under the protection of the political power) impose another, in contrast to the abstract principles of the theory, and with all the consequences of these limitations. He should now compare these two images together, and the time to transmit a theoretical principle into reality would thus be detected if it produce by comparing that to transfer the principle would be unchanged was shown, and the results would be presented in the first image, or when (if this chance should not perfect) could still expect that this difference would be eliminated and lack, for reality was brought closer to theory. For this latter objective, this constant approximation should never stop to win the respect of the legislature.

coach handbags I still have no mention of such laws impose positive obligations of citizens made, or the victim or the performance of something either for the state or for each other, although there are such laws everywhere among us. But apart from this application of his forces where it is every citizen necessary owes the state (about which I shall speak hereafter), I do not think it's good that the state should compel every one to nothing to do satisfy the desire or promote the interests of others, even though he will get the widest compensation. For as each and every pursuit, from the infinite variety of human dispositions and desires, gives each of these various and invaluable benefits, and these benefits may also vary continuously in interest, importance and necessity, the decision about which of the good, and which of the other, are chosen to be equivalent (although its difficulties should not deter us from it), is always attended with some harsh, and seems like the sentencing for the feelings and individuality of others. For this reason, moreover, that we had no exact substitute for, the things in question are exactly the same kind, real compensation often impossible, and can hardly be determined by a general rule.

coach bags outlet Where man is not confined to the immediate province of its own powers and property, but performs actions directly related to others who worry about the security imposes on the State the following tasks: -

louis vuitton But what is the place of supply of such dispositions, if (as always strictly required) throughout the state were to abolish the right of making them? Since the need to preserve the peace and order to exclude the possibility of a take possession, it is clearly nothing more than a succession from intestate shall be decided by the state. But to transfer the political power as a powerful positive impact, as it would acquire by right of inheritance of this solution, and the abolition of the personal will of the ancestors is of the principles that we have already decided prohibited. The close connection which subsists between laws on intestate succession from the political constitution of the states was frequently observed, and this source of influence could be used to make other designs will be promoted. On the whole, the diverse and ever-changing plans and desires of the individual are to be preferred to a single and immutable will of the state. And we should remember, also, that whatever evil may flow from the practice of testamentary dispositions, it is difficult seems the man innocent, to do the idea of ??continuing to deprive well attended with his help, even after death and although this feeling, it is true, testifies excessive concern for property, if too much encouraged, the complete absence of it could possibly lead to the opposite evil. Freedom to enjoy the people, leaving behind them their relationships according to their own free time, created a new bond of union among them, which, though. Often the source of abuse, even with the happiest results may be visited And in fact, the whole tenour of the ideas and arguments developed in this essay, this could be quite reduced, that, while they would break all social fetters apart, they unite thousand new and closer ties to the power of the human union to discover the force far deeper and more lasting sympathies. Who is isolated no longer able to develop, as he bound by the shackles exciting.

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louis vuitton handbags But even though this method of self-development would be universally possible, it would only be effective if it is grounded to the perfect consistency of ideas and sensations, or when deployed from the inner life of the soul, rather than imposed on them or intrusive proposed by some external influences. It is apparent that the only means by which the legislature can reach the end in sight, must pass through the removal of barriers that prevent the public in the sense of getting acquainted with religious ideas, and promoting a spirit of free research. If you proceed, he dares direct or diffuse a spirit of piety, if he shelters or promotes certain religious beliefs, or if finally he dares a belief by authority rather than a genuine and sincere required, it is most effective to prevent and dampen the soul noblest aspirations and deadly throw obstacles in the way of true spiritual culture, and although he can work on the citizen's imagination by immediate emotions as far as to bring his actions in accordance with the law succeed, he can never be the true virtue. Because this is independent of all particular forms of religious belief, and not with one that is imposed by, and believed in, authority.

louis vuitton bags Furthermore, the consideration of security requires (which alone rightly writes the scope of state agency) does not make such regulations generally necessary because every case in which this need arises must be strictly exceptional: men also are friendly to each other are arranged, and request for mutual assistance, the less they feel their self-esteem and the feeling of freedom, of an actual legal coercion on the part of others are injured, and although the mere humor and quite groundless tenacity of a man may happen to thwart an outstanding company, is a not sufficient to require such an event, that the power of the state should be thrown into the competition. In the physical world, it is not shatter every stone to pieces, stands on the way of the wanderer. Are obstacles, stimulate energy and discipline, foresight, no unnecessary obstacles except those arising out of human injustice, but this is not so obstinacy an obstacle in fact by the force of law in individual cases can be bent, but only by the remove the blessed influences of freedom. These reasons, of which a summary is all that can be given here, do not seem sufficient to give us need to iron alone, and the government should stay with the assurance to the people and their natural right to freedom the property to sacrifice other content in order to avoid their own demise.

louis vuitton purses Everything what is said here of minors also applies to those who are deprived of reason, with the difference only being proposed by the nature of the thing itself. Nobody should also be considered in such a state until it has been officially declared to be so, after an investigation of the circumstances of medical professionals and under the supervision of the magistrate, and evil itself must always be considered temporary, and the possible return of reason .

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On the whole, there is nothing like what the Spirit so admired, and inclined with such perfect harmony of feeling, such as the recognition of orderful omniscience chairman in a countless number of different and even antagonistic individuals. But this admiration is far more characteristic of some ideas than others, and there are some that are easier to embrace a faith which an entity created and controlled the universe, and she always kept with the care of the far-sighted wisdom. In the design of the other, the individual seems more holy, they are more particularly attracted to this idea as the universality of the adaptative order, and these heads an opposite system is usually recommended, namely that in which the individual beings that development in itself, and subject to the change in the reciprocal influences, is tuned to the perfect harmony of being, in which alone the human heart and mind can find peace. I am far from believing that I lack in these sketches a subject that defy every so abundant methodical investigation is exhausted. My only job is to show a few illustrative examples, not only of all true religion, but every true system of religion is, in the highest sense of the inner harmony of man and correlation of the processes of sensation. Was

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